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West Slopes North

Backcountry Avalanche Forecast

This is an archived product. View the most recent forecast or all archived forecasts.

Author: Lee Lazzara

Issued: Saturday, March 7, 2026 at 6:00 PM PST

Expires: Sunday, March 8, 2026 at 7:00 PM PDT

The Bottom Line

Avalanche danger will increase as you gain elevation into areas where there are stronger west winds and loose snow to drift into fresh slabs. Avoid steep slopes that are accumulating wind-drifted snow. Anticipate a change to more wintry, colder conditions and continued snowfall in the coming week.

Avalanche Danger

Sunday, March 8, 2026

Upper Elevations
7500-5500ft
3 - ConsiderableConsiderable
Middle Elevations
5500-4500ft
2 - ModerateModerate
Lower Elevations
4500-2500ft
1 - LowLow

Monday, March 9, 2026

Upper Elevations
7500-5500ft
3 - ConsiderableConsiderable
Middle Elevations
5500-4500ft
2 - ModerateModerate
Lower Elevations
4500-2500ft
2 - ModerateModerate
Elevation Band Descriptions
Avalanche Danger ScaleLearn moreGeneral Info1 - Low2 - Mod3 - Cons4 - High5 - Extr
Low
1 - Low
Moderate
2 - Moderate
Considerable
3 - Considerable
High
4 - High
Extreme
5 - Extreme
Travel AdviceGenerally safe avalanche conditions. Watch for unstable snow on isolated terrain features.Heightened avalanche conditions on specific terrain features. Evaluate snow and terrain carefully; identify features of concern.Dangerous avalanche conditions. Careful snowpack evaluation, cautious route-finding and conservative decision-making essential.Very dangerous avalanche conditions. Travel in avalanche terrain not recommended.Extraordinarily dangerous avalanche conditions. Avoid all avalanche terrain.
Likelihood of AvalanchesNatural and human-triggered avalanches unlikely.Natural avalanches unlikely; human-triggered avalanches possible.Natural avalanches possible; human-triggered avalanches likely.Natural avalanches likely; human-triggered avalanches very likely.Natural and human-triggered avalanches certain.
Avalanche Size and DistributionSmall avalanches in isolated areas or extreme terrain.Small avalanches in specific areas; or large avalanches in isolated areas.Small avalanches in many areas; or large avalanches in specific areas; or very large avalanches in isolated areas.Large avalanches in many areas; or very large avalanches in specific areas.Very large avalanches in many areas.

Avalanche Problems (1)

Problem #1: Wind Slab

Problem Type
Wind Slab
Aspect/Elevation
NNEESESSWWNW
Likelihood
CertainVery LikelyLikelyPossibleUnlikely
Size
Historic (D4-5)Very Large (D3)Large (D2)Small (D1)

(4/9/2022)

Stiff, slabby snow? Check. Cracking? Check. Wind-affected surface? Congratulations, you found a wind slab!

Photo: Dallas Glass

Modest amounts of new snow in the forecast shouldn’t add much to avalanche danger on their own. Adding wind to the picture is another story. At mid elevations, the only snow available for transport should be what falls after rainfall switches to snow early in the morning. Slabs at those elevations might be reactive, but not very big. At upper elevations, colder temperatures have kept the snow surface drier, allowing it to drift more easily and for wind slabs to grow thicker.

Monitor changes in new snow depth and stiffness as you gain elevation or switch aspects. Test slopes and hand pits can help you gauge the bond of new wind slab layers, but the safest bet is to avoid steep slopes on the receiving end of blowing and drifting snow.

An added complication is that a small wind slab avalanche could trigger a larger slab failing on older weak layers buried deeper in the snowpack. Canyon Creek and other areas north of Highway 542 are most likely where this is an issue, but less-traveled terrain could have a similar setup.

Forecast Discussion

Wet snow and poor riding conditions kept backcountry observations to a minimum on Saturday. The few who were out reported the snow surface simply became wetter with light rainfall, but no new wet avalanches or other signs of instability were noted as of late afternoon.

An NWAC forecaster in West Central near Darrington found overall wet conditions on Saturday, with no dry snow at the surface up to about 5500 feet. Numerous rollerballs and one wet avalanche, about D2 in size, had released in the past 24 hours, likely overnight when rainfall was heavier and more consistent. Rollerballs and small wet snow avalanches very stubborn to trigger. About 2 feet of moist snow sits over crusts from late January and early February, but snowpack tests revealed no layers of concern.

The persistent slab problem from last week was never consistently observed across the forecast zone. Time, warm temperatures, additional loading from rain and snow, and a lack of recent avalanche activity and significant snowpack observations have taken this problem off the table. However, deeper layers could still be triggered by large loads, such as a small avalanche or a falling cornice, even though a single person would be very unlikely to trigger one. These are low-likelihood events, but something to keep in mind if heading into less-traveled terrain or areas where persistent slab avalanches were reported last week.

This information is provided by the U.S.D.A. Forest Service and describes general backcountry avalanche hazard and conditions. It does not apply to ski areas and highways where avalanche mitigation is conducted.